Call Your Shot
Welcome to the Call Your Shot podcast, your weekly sports recap podcast where we break down the hottest headlines, dissect the latest injuries, and serve up our own hard-hitting analysis of the past week in sports.
But that’s not all – we’re not just here to talk about the past but to predict the future. On the Call Your Shot podcast, we boldly predict the outcomes of the upcoming week’s games. Will our crystal ball be right on the money, or will we be eating humble pie?.
Call Your Shot
NFL Week 1 Game Recaps, and Week 2 Predictions - 2024
Listen as we lay out our candid reactions, overreactions, and predictions from the NFL’s unfolding drama in week one going into week two. Don't miss our comprehensive breakdown of key games, individual player highlights, and team dynamics!
00:00:00
Sports Recap Podcast
00:11:57
Weekend Game Recap and Injury Updates
00:21:38
Football Game Analysis and Concerns
00:26:51
NFL Weekend Game Analysis and Reactions
00:33:20
Cardinals and Bengals Week 1 Analysis
00:45:18
Falcons Offense Struggles, Steelers Defense Dominates
00:50:40
Quarterback Performance and NFC Matchups
01:03:39
Quarterback Comparison and Team Analysis
01:10:26
Week 1 Disappointments and Concerns
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Welcome to the Call your Shot podcast, your weekly sports recap podcast, where we break down the hottest headlines, dissect the latest injuries and serve up our own hard-hitting analysis of the past week in sports. But that's not all. We're not just here to talk about the past, we're here to predict the future as well. On the Call Your Shot podcast, we boldly predict the outcomes of the upcoming week's games.
Drew Moore:Hello everybody, thank you for listening.
Drew Moore:This is the Call Your Shot Podcast, with your hosts, Alix Harris and Drew Moore In this episode, going over week one, finally in the books, going to go over some injuries that happened over the weekend as well as kind of recap a few of the key games that we had, as well as maybe getting a couple overreactions that we may have for some teams going forward and then preview a few games that we had coming up in this next weekend.
Drew Moore:So, going into the first injuries and stuff, one of the things that we were going to get into Drew is the C-Mac injury. It was kind of going on all of the offseason they were saying that he had I think it was like tendonitis in his Achilles and he had a calf strain and all that kind of stuff. But all the reports were that he was questionable but was going to end up playing. And then Monday comes around they're like, oh no, he's ruled out, just kidding. And now they're saying that he's a long shot to play in week two. So how do you feel about Christian McCaffrey going forward? It seems like the 49ers didn't really have any trouble against the Jets and everything.
Alix Harris:So what do you think about that? Yeah, like, what did I tell you? Also, I told you about that regression, bro. I'm just saying. I'm just saying what do you mean With the injuries, bro? I told you that that was going to come around.
Drew Moore:They literally had it started out like that Exactly.
Alix Harris:I'm just saying.
Drew Moore:Enter Frank Mason.
Alix Harris:No, you mean, that's basketball, bro Frank Mason.
Drew Moore:No, that's basketball Jordan Mason Apologies, he's on my fantasy team. He helped me out. I can't even say his name, right? I apologize, jordan.
Alix Harris:So enter Jordan Mason and everything. He was running like a madman out there. But ultimately, you know, whenever Christian McCaffrey comes back, it's going to be the CMAX show. Let's be real Whenever Elijah Mitchell was in the game for CMAX, you saw the same thing and you know, as soon as CMAX came back, it was Elijah Mitchell, just disappeared.
Alix Harris:So I'm not concerned about it long term in terms of like him sitting out. In long term in terms of like him sitting out, because shanahan initially said that the only reason why he was sitting out was because it was game one of the season. If it was a playoff game he would have played um. But they didn't want to risk anything, which makes sense because you know we've seen um how these achilles injuries have been lingering around the nfl and uh on a on a rise uh as of late. So don't want to risk that for him, especially with the caliber of that caliber of a player. But I mean, it doesn't really matter, it doesn't really seem like they're going to miss him that much.
Alix Harris:Obviously I'm joking, but like you know, in this first game, joking but like you know, in this first game, um, granted the jets, uh, don't really have a good run. Stop defense, um. They are more notorious for their uh, their pass rush than the run run defense, um. But even with that too, like it, there is holes, the the size of a semi-truck. Anybody could run through those things, and so I'm not surprised that the guy went over 100 yards Rushed for 150.
Drew Moore:Yeah, had a few extra touches from Debo over the past couple years with C-Mac. They kind of leaned against giving Debo all those kind of backfield touches and stuff like that, but I think he ended up having like six or seven rushes as well in this game. So I don't think that they're going to have too much trouble, even if they decide to sit out C-Mac in the first couple of weeks. I feel like they're like Super Bowl at best at this point. So if you know Jordan Mason is, you know, filling in comfortably, then there's no reason to rush C-Mac back.
Drew Moore:Additionally, one of the major injuries that we had happened on that Friday night game it was the Green Bay Packers versus Philadelphia Eagles. It was a very good game overall. Philadelphia ended up squeaking out the win and then on the last possession, where Jordan was basically Jordan Love was basically trying to throw up like a Hail Mary just trying to see if they could get in the field goal range, ended up getting tackled kind of wrong by two guys on each side and ended up getting tackled kind of wrong by uh two guys on each side and ended up having a knee injury.
Alix Harris:Uh, do you want to touch on that drew and see what you think going forward when it comes to that? Yeah, um, I mean, if you, if you saw the the slow-mo video, it didn't look pretty and uh, no, not at all.
Alix Harris:Like I was telling you earlier that like that's the, that's the mcl right there and that mcl left the chat, like that thing popped, and so the good thing is it didn't look like it was like ACL or anything like that. So if it's the MCL, like that's, it's the weak link out of all of them and it's one of the easier ones to recover from and you don't even necessarily need surgery for it and it looks like he's probably not going to do surgery, since it's in season and I'm assuming that they have good PTs that'll that'll help them get back out there on the field, unlike the 49ers where you know their players just always get hurt. So I don't know about their PTs. If you're hiring, I'm available, as always, anyways, but the. As for the, I'm available as always, anyways, but the I'm sending you my resume Exactly.
Alix Harris:If you need a cover letter, let me know as well. But so with Jordan Love, his knee injury, they're saying three to four weeks. I'm thinking it's going to be more five to six weeks, seeing as how.
Drew Moore:They're saying that he's not going to go on IR.
Alix Harris:And that's going to be interesting when he comes back too. So, like minimum, I'd say, like granted. You know, I'm on the more conservative side when it comes to these things because I don't want it to linger down the road. I'm also not in a Okay, I'm also not in a okay, I'm also not in a third dollar industry where, you know, this is, this is impacting not only um, like the player's future, but it's also impacting the uh, the, the overall product uh of the nfl too, for the packers. So, in that sense, like, get it, you want to try and push them to come back, Like I wouldn't try to push them sooner than week four, but at the same time, like you know, I guess you got to do what you got to do. But you know, sometimes it's a matter of protecting the player from themselves and the only duty that the PT or the medical doctors or whoever else on the staff is to protect the player first, and then the second thing is to you know when do what's best for the team and when the game. But ultimately, I don't think that we're going to see Jordan love until, hopefully until like week five or six, because this, this kind of injury, can uh, lead to further knee injuries, which is good that you know.
Alix Harris:It was only like an isolated MCL. Um is what I'm speculating, and I believe it's also what they've been saying too. Um, if it was like a, like a, a patellar dislocation we would have saw like a spontaneous relocation of the knee. Or if it was dislocated and it didn't spontaneously reduce, then they would have reduced it back onto the field or back on the field, instead of having him, just, like you know, lay there and then, you know, not do any kind of movements to put the patella back into place. So in that sense, that's good that it is just an isolated injury. It's one of the easier ones to recover from and hopefully he returns soon.
Drew Moore:Yeah, In Malik Willis we trust. No, no, no. Um, I think that I thought that they had more, basically, depth of the quarterback position. I didn't know. Malik willis was the was the number two, so uh they went all in on jordan love.
Drew Moore:Yeah, as we talked about, yeah, and basically they had that huge deal for him. So, uh, yeah, hopefully that thing gets better soon. There's a lot of uh kind of bright spots with them. Uh, your boy, you know, uh had, um Christian Watson as well as, uh, jalen Reed and Josh Jacobs and stuff, so overall it was a good game. Um, we'll get a little bit more into that game as we uh get more into the overall weekend.
Drew Moore:But, moving on entry-wise, unfortunately we did also have a Meiji fantasy superstar. We had Puka Nakua end up getting hurt in the game against the Rams our game against the Lions, playing on the Rams. He ended up having a PCL sprain and I guess they're calling it a very unique injury and basically they pretty much immediately put him on IR and now reports came out that are saying that he's probably going to miss more than four weeks. You want to touch on that? And then, what are your expectations for the Rams going forward? Because you know, as you know, I think, that he's on your fantasy Cooper Cup, did his best 2021 impression and went absolutely nuclear as well. So, thoughts on that injury and for the Rams going forward?
Alix Harris:Yeah well, actually I don't have Puka in any leagues.
Drew Moore:I have Cooper Cup in multiple leagues, I have cooper cup and I mean that's what I'm saying.
Alix Harris:You had went nuclear yeah, and so I mean, you don't want to be excited about something, damn I thought you were.
Drew Moore:I thought you were putting hits out on people.
Alix Harris:You weren't playing, bro, I'm saying you know I'm a saints man, it's what we do, you know I mean anyways, um, but yeah, no, it's a very unique injury. Um, because, like pcls are, for one they're the strongest ligament that's in the knee, and then for two is that's a very interesting injury to have. Usually you see offensive linemen that get like a PCL sprain or PCL tears. That's when they're getting their knee kind of rolled up on and everything and or what could have happened is, like you know, somebody falls and they land directly on their knee. That can also cause a PCL injury.
Alix Harris:So those two like isolated events are are interesting or are the most common ways to to get this PCL sprain and for him to only have a sprain is good it's, you know it's going to only be about like a four to six week kind of thing for him. But along with that too, it's good that it didn't involve the meniscus at all and versus the ACL the ACL it's more common to have a meniscus injury with an ACL tear. It's usually around, I'd say like 60 to 70% or, depending on where you read, 50 to 70%. Regardless, a lot more common to have meniscus involvement with ACL tears versus PCL tears where I believe it's like. It's like less than 10% chance with that, which is good, so you don't have to worry about that in a sense. However, just as any injury, these things kind of linger and depending on how aggressive they want to be with this injury will also determine what his production is going to be like on the field as well, because it's not very easy to to run or cut or do anything with this kind of an injury, as you might expect.
Alix Harris:But the PCL basically limits the, the knee, from going backwards, so like hyperextending your knee, pcl kind of prevents that from happening, whereas acl prevents the, the tibia, from going forward there. So with that it again it'll be interesting to see how they, how they manage this injury, um, on the ramps, but going forward it's. I mean, it's it's cooper cup season and we saw that, uh, this game and it it doesn't seem like it's ever going to stop, and it because you can't stop it. He's always somehow, he's always he's not mad about that I mean, I mean, how could you be?
Alix Harris:anyways, that's my two cents on that fair enough.
Drew Moore:So that's pretty much the majority of the major injuries that happened this weekend. The only other two or one that I wanted to kind of touch on was the running backs. Uh, room for thephins as they play tomorrow, on Thursday night football against the Bills. Raheem Mostard's already been deemed out with a chest injury and I guess Devon A Chan is dealing with an ankle injury and he's deemed questionable going into this game as well. People assume, obviously, if Raheem Mostard is out, Devon A-Chain would have a huge workload as he's already an explosive talent, had a good week last weekend but if he's injured as well, then I guess people are saying that maybe they'll lean on Jeff Wilson, or even I can't believe the rookie that they have as well.
Alix Harris:I don't even honestly remember that guy's name because I was like I'm not going to say it.
Drew Moore:I was about to say it, but yeah, because I was like I'm not going to draft him. I was about to say there's like 35 other writers. I was about to say, but yeah, yeah, but yeah, devon HN ends up playing. You're definitely obviously playing him. I think you have HN as well, don't you?
Alix Harris:Yep Got him.
Drew Moore:Starting him there you go, don't really have a choice, like you said Just in one leg.
Alix Harris:Fair enough.
Drew Moore:So major injuries are dealt with. Now we can kind of get into some of the games that we had. Starting with Thursday night football, we had the Chiefs facing the Ravens in a very good game. It was obviously a rematch of the AFC Championship. The Chiefs ended up winning over the Ravens 27 to 20. Ended up being a very entertaining game overall and the Ravens basically ended up making a comeback towards the end and had a potential game-winning touchdown. That ended up coming up about an inch short because Isaiah likely probably wears like a size 18 and basically had like a big toe on the out-of-bounds line. So it wasn't a touchdown. So, drew, what are your thoughts on that game and how do you feel about the Ravens going forward? Derrick Henry was kind of underproduced or people had high expectations for Derrick Henry. He said he might have 20 touchdowns and stuff like that and basically was played out of this game pretty much because they couldn't run the ball at all and he wasn't using the passing game.
Alix Harris:Yeah, and I mean the Chiefs kind of did their thing and they showed us that their defense is legit, honestly, Because the Ravens are supposed to have a pretty solid offense and it was supposed to be fairly unstoppable too. But at the same time the Chiefs showed up and showed out, regardless of the fact that they lost their top DB, they're still able to shut down the receiving core. Granted, they don't have much receiving core, so that also kind of as they likely.
Alix Harris:we trust Exactly. And I mean, if you look at the passes that Lamar Jackson was throwing, it was just a bunch of just uh screen passes and dump offs, uh down to the running back and check downs underneath everything exactly and that's not, that's not going to be, um, what the ravens are going to do going forward, obviously.
Alix Harris:So I'm not too concerned about, you know, the ravens losing this game or anything like that. They're not going to play the chiefs every weekend and I think that, going forward, it is kind of good to see that. Um, you know they, even though you know limited offense, uh, offensive, uh receiving power that they have, they still do have Isaiah, likely, that they can basically just use as a wide receiver. And then they have Andrews, but what they were doing was they were double teaming him the whole game and they're basically saying do anything else but throw it to him, and that is the game plan. And ultimately they ended up coming out on top. And this is the result, that, and ultimately they ended up coming out on top.
Drew Moore:And you know this is the result that you get Facts. And then I kind of saw some sparks from the Chiefs with their new talent. Obviously you had Xavier Worthy, the explosive rookie, coming in and he had a couple of big touchdown plays as well, and then it seems like obviously Isaiah Pacheco was going to be the bad call for this team. They end up signing Samaja P Ryan early or late in the offseason, so people were kind of concerned that Isaiah may not be basically that third down or every down back that people were expecting. But he ended up basically being the bell cow in this situation. Travis Kelsey didn't end up having too big of a game Kind of going into last season. He had a great start to the season but over the last basically eight games as Rishi Rice stepped up, he kind of became that number one receiver and it was kind of just more of that. In this game Rishi Rice was, I think he had the most targets nine targets, had 100 yards overall, seven receptions, no-transcript. They're just going to be a more balanced offense, which is really scary and dangerous. And why I had Patrick Holmes as my MVP? Because if you have this situation with this offense and then you bring Hollywood back and if he's any sort of healthy compared to what he's been over the past couple of years. I think they're just going to be a dangerous office overall.
Drew Moore:I agree with you. I think that this script was just unfortunate for the Ravens. I think that they are obviously still going to be a great team and I still have them winning their division. It's just yeah, you're not going to face the Chiefs every week. I still think that if you have Derrick Henry, fantasy-wise, you're going to be fine. But I think the hardball came out earlier today and also said that, like you know, we're not trying to use Derrick Henry as he was used in the Titans during his prime. Pretty much we don't want to give him 30 touches and all this kind of stuff. But I mean, I think that's what a lot of people want. But overall, I think he's going to be fine. I think the Ravens are going to be fine and it ended up just being Lamar Jackson versus the world.
Alix Harris:I think he was like fuck it, we run in and yeah. So I think the raven is going to be fine and the uh, what was another game that you wanted to get it? Oh, go ahead. Yeah, I was just going to say that. Uh, another thing too is that you know, lamar jackson ended up throwing for 41 or 41 times there, and that's that's obviously not going to be the case every week.
Alix Harris:This is a run heavy offense, that is is known for just the ground and pound game, and maybe you'll you'll get like a you know 25, 30 passes out of Lamar, but 41, I got it.
Alix Harris:And also with that too, you know you would have hoped to see that some of those would have gone to Andrews, but at the same time again, you know they were, they were just kind of locking them up and and forcing, forcing their hand. Essentially, if you go to last year when Lamar Jackson was playing, he basically never really eclipsed that 41 passing attempts. Last year as well, only a handful of times did he actually do that, and with that, I don't think that we're really going to see that going forward either, because that's not the game that you want to run with lamar, seeing as how his epa per per play um was 0.06 in the 48th percentile um, whereas mahomes, on only 33 um plays overall, was able to have a 90th percentile EPA per play at 0.42, which is absurd. So I think going forward we can definitely see some improvement from Lamar, assuming that's how he's the reigning MVP, kind of kind of by default.
Drew Moore:But I digress okay, also a little side note too. What? What do you uh feel about your boy is justin tucker man. You've been missing field goals and, like everything over the past couple years, is he finally like becoming human? Or?
Alix Harris:I mean let's not, let's, let's not forget who this man is the most accurate kicker in the league, actually in history, if we're being honest. So I'm not concerned, it's Justin Tucker.
Drew Moore:Okay.
Alix Harris:As Aaron Rodgers said, R-E-A-L-A-X. Relax Okay.
Drew Moore:Okay, all right, moving on, we can touch on the Friday night game as we've talked about. It was the Brazil game versus the Packers and Eagles Eagles ended up winning the game 34-29. Ended up pretty much being the Saquon Barkley show, and a lot of people were saying that Saquon Barkley could have a Christian McCaffrey type impact for the Philadelphia Eagles, who have always been a solid running team as well. But then you kind of add him with his versatility. He had a rushing touchdown, the receiving touchdown on a wheel route and basically it was pretty much unstoppable. So what were your thoughts on that game? A lot of us were kind of not knowing who the main receiver was going to be for the Packers, since they have so many young receivers. Ended up being Jalen Reed, who had four receptions for almost 150 yards in a cup and a touchdown. So thoughts on that, and do you have any confidence in the Packers going forward with Malik Willis as the starter while Jordan is out with the knee injury?
Alix Harris:None Zero Okay.
Drew Moore:You don't think you can hold it down, at least like one and two?
Alix Harris:you know no, Okay.
Drew Moore:Fine.
Alix Harris:Um, the. But you know, with that game though it was, I don't want to call it poetry emotion, because it honestly really wasn't.
Drew Moore:It was kind of ugly there. That turf was ass as well.
Alix Harris:Yeah, exactly, it was a. It was a pretty rough start for the, for Philly, um, and honestly they should have by a million, I said. But again, like how they started ended up not being okay, um, not being all that great, so, um, but ultimately it ended up with the perfect result, which is a w on their way to being Super Bowl champions. So I am slightly concerned about what I'm seeing from Hertz, because some of those decisions that he was making were just like dude, the guy is literally quadruple teamed. Like what are we doing here? Like what is that? And it was I don't want to say it was as bad as some of the passes we were seeing from from bryce young, but it wasn't.
Alix Harris:It wasn't that great either and a few turnovers, a couple interceptions, not pretty and you know, ultimately he ended up having like a 50 success rate on offense, which is okay, but that, but that's not going to okay, it's not going to get you to the Superbowl. You know what I mean. And when it comes to my boys say quad and say Kwan, whatever you want to call them, he is him. It's almost a mystery that that people were were doubting like oh, say quads, wash, like you know, he can't do it anymore and it turns out that he's actually still him and it was really just the offensive line for the Giants and also the fact that the Giants are just trash was also another major factor. So Saquon, going forward, is greater than Christian McCaffrey until further notice, seeing as how the best ability is availability and my guy is still healthy at the moment. So I can say that without having any pushback. I probably still look at his pushback, but that's all right.
Drew Moore:I probably still look at some pushback, but that's all right.
Drew Moore:I'm also a little bit concerned about this Eagles defense because you know it was the same recipe as last year and we saw how that looked and they tried to address a little bit in the, in the draft and and in the off season, but I mean it still doesn't look great. Obviously, we do expect the Packers to be good. We did expect them to be good with Jordan love and they're receiving core and with Josh Jacobs, but yeah, it wasn't very pretty. They're going to be over the top. Jacobs was kind of got busy in the rushing, almost got a hundred yards and everything like that. So I think that hopefully they will improve as the season goes on. But like just comparing them to some of the defenses that we did see, like the Cowboys and had an elite defense, I mean I think that offensively you can only do so much. So, moving on, what other games?
Alix Harris:As a side note, the Eagles had an EPA per play of 0.147 on defense. So basically, every play that the Packers ran, you could expect 0.147 points. The only teams that were worse than that were the Giants, the Bucks, the Ravens, because they played against the Chiefs, the Colts, because they're just terrible in defense, and then you go to the bottoms here of the Panthers Cardinals and you guessed it the Commanders. So out of those teams. That's not a company that you want to be in, and especially if we have Super Bowl aspirations I'm saying we have Super Bowl aspirations I don't think we touched on that.
Drew Moore:I don't think that we knew that the Eagles were your Super Bowl team this year.
Alix Harris:I thought I said that.
Drew Moore:We didn't really touch on all that. I mean, that's okay.
Alix Harris:I mean, I thought about that. Did you say don't?
Drew Moore:worry about that.
Alix Harris:Yeah, so the cat's out of the bag, but yeah, so I am quite concerned about that. But hopefully, you know they made some changes on the defensive head coach or defensive coordinator, but it's not really seeming like it's doing all that well, it's better. It's better than dead last, so that's good.
Drew Moore:All offense. Who needs defense? 0-5oenix suns, just seven seconds to last, that's all y'all care about the.
Alix Harris:The only other thing that that is kind of problematic is the fact that, um, their epa, uh per play when it comes to rushing was 0.247, which is second to worst uh only to the rams, who have nobody on the defensive line.
Drew Moore:So that's sounds like you're talking yourself out of your super Bowl pick already, Drew.
Alix Harris:I'm not talking myself out of it, I'm not worried. Nice game.
Drew Moore:Nice game. Okay, all right. Okay, fair enough. What was the game that you wanted to get into from this last weekend? Then those were the main two.
Alix Harris:Yeah, I wanted to get into that Bears-Titans game, so Titans game. So, out of all the picks that we had going into this week, and that was the one that we ended up losing and, honestly, that was BS that we lost that. Because, they were literally up by 17 at one point. Okay, do you understand?
Drew Moore:that yeah, then we'll love us things Exactly.
Alix Harris:So a quick breakdown of what ended up going down. So the Bears, this is what happened, this is what happened. So they were up by 17. And then, going into the third quarter, there was a punt that was blocked, returned for a touchdown, okay, and then, you know, they kicked the field goal. It was great, whatever.
Alix Harris:And then there was one of the worst pick, sixes that you're ever going to see in your life, like I mean you and I could do better than that. You could put a high school like elementary school player out there and they're not going to see it.
Drew Moore:It was over, though. The play was over.
Alix Harris:He's just like exactly, I don't want the ball in my hand, no more hot potato. You take it to the house, exactly, and like do literally anything else but that um and so, um, yeah it. Oh, I forgot there was also a levis fumble in there as well too, so it was ultimately blocked, punt. Uh, that was returned for a touchdown. That was in the third quarter. There was a levis fumble and they um up kicking the field goal. Then there was that pick six as well too. So with all of that, according to Evan Abrams on Twitter, any team, any team that was up 17-0 and had a four-point spread in the game as underdogs, those teams were 66-1-1 ATS since 2019. As for teams that were trailing by two or more scores teams two and 306, alex there is no reason, it don't matter when it's the rookie of the year you know what I'm saying?
Alix Harris:he just does the rookie of the year to win in his rookie debut.
Drew Moore:Since 2020, or since 2002, it's been 22 years since a rookie quarterback won in their debut. And somehow Caleb Williams won with 14 completions, 93 passing yards, no touchdowns. But the Bears defense apparently this year is somewhat legit and I think that you know, as the season progresses, that defense is still going to be good, caleb Williams is going to improve and still going to be rookie of the year.
Alix Harris:Can you really say that their secondary was legit? They were playing against the Titans, the.
Drew Moore:Titans are projecting to be one of the worst teams. You could only play who you could. Only you picked them to win.
Alix Harris:I mean, yeah, I picked them to cover. I didn't pick them to win. That was supposed to be clear.
Drew Moore:You can only play who you're going against. So I'm saying, like I don't know, they play the Texans next.
Alix Harris:Anyway, moving on, Talk about all that. I want to say that the sky has fallen in Chicago. If they would have lost that game then I think the sky would be falling.
Drew Moore:Everything went wrong and they still somehow ended up getting the win.
Alix Harris:He said he don't care about stats.
Drew Moore:We care about W's Drew.
Alix Harris:How many touchdowns does the offense have?
Drew Moore:Huh, how many touchdowns does the?
Alix Harris:offense have, how many?
Drew Moore:touchdowns. Does the Titans offense have?
Alix Harris:One. Okay, that wasn't enough Shout out to Tony.
Drew Moore:Pollard. Then too, they said that was going to be a split backfield with him and Tajay Spears. Nah, it's a Tony Pollard show. Oh my God.
Alix Harris:But regardless of that, your boy, your king, should I say. Do you want to take a guess at how he did when it came to completions over expected, mr harris?
Drew Moore:do you want to take a guess? And the only ricky quarterback this year that actually won their debut mr harris, he had negative.
Alix Harris:this is this is, per you know, my favorite website, runningbackstonemattercom.
Drew Moore:Negative 19.7% under expected completion percentage Mr.
Alix Harris:Harris. Do you know who else had that low? Okay, I don't know. Do you know who else? Right next to him? Right next to him, he was dead last. First of all, he was dead last in that category. Do you know who was second to last? Bryce Young, we saw how that was hey, it don't matter.
Drew Moore:Caleb is still my rookie of the year. He is still going to be the rookie of the year you shouldn't be talking about rookie, of the years when your man had one reception and lost the game.
Alix Harris:Talk about Marvin.
Drew Moore:Harrison Jr, his expected completion percentage 48.3.
Alix Harris:His expected completion percentage 48.3%. His expected completion percentage it don't matter, oh my god.
Drew Moore:Actually I said that backwards.
Alix Harris:I said that backwards, my fault. His expected completion percentage was 68%, which means that there were some easy-ass throws.
Drew Moore:His actual completion percentage was 48.3% Okay. I'll still make a bet with you that he finishes ricky of the year, finishes higher than marvin harrison jr I mean, didn't you already have marvin?
Drew Moore:harrison jr had one more point than marvin harrison senior and marvin harrison senior is 54 years old. Okay, so I don't. I don't know what you want to say, but whatever, I die, but I digress anyway. Moving on, we can talk about, uh, the cardinals game. Since we brought up moffin harrison jr, uh, and the bills. The cardinals ended up talking about leads and blowing leads. They ended up having a huge lead over the buffalo bills. I think it was 17 to 3 at one point in time. The bills slowly walked them down and josh allen did josh allen things, kind of put on his superman cape and pretty much did it all for them throwing, passing, rushing, whatever you want to call it kind of legit running people over, diving into the end zone.
Drew Moore:I'm like bro chill, it's week one against the cardinals. But uh, he ended up getting a little hurt too, kind of had an injury to his hand, uh, left hand. So they said he's good to go for tomorrow's game against the Dolphins, but yeah, so, overall though, the Cardinals did look pretty promising. You have a healthy Kyler, have a healthy James Connor, and even though the receivers for the Cardinals, with Marvin Harrison Jr, with Trey McBride both of which people had high expectations for this season I'm not super concerned. But I mean, the Cardinals still look very solid and I think that, as long as Kyler stays healthy, they're going to be a very solid team. So they're probably going to have some upsets going forward.
Drew Moore:But yeah, I think that the Bills will get better, they'll be more consistent, but, as we know, our boy, josh Allen, is very volatile. So, thoughts on the game, and do you have any expectations for Marvin Harrison Jr going forward, or is he just going to do that? You do that? Kyler came out today and he was like hey, it's not my fault, it's not my job to say who the ball is going to go to and all this stuff. I mean, I guess it doesn't sound like they have a great rapport overall.
Alix Harris:I don't know what's going on. Okay, the trouble in paradise, who knows? I'm not saying like they're not paradise man, okay, I'm not saying that the cardinals are going to three targets or anything like that okay, that's, that's good, right, you know that's all right but that was the least amount okay I was gonna say also, like are you forgetting that the bills do have an elite secondary and an elite defense when healthy, okay?
Drew Moore:so that's why james connor was running down their throat.
Alix Harris:Well, okay, I mean, I didn't say running secondary, you know I know I'm saying but you know, at the same time, like josh allen, just like we said, took over that game, in terms of epa per play, 0.49, like that is ridiculous. Quarterback every, every single, every single play that they ran. You could expect basically a half point for every one play that they ran.
Alix Harris:That is absurd and then score touchdown in the first half and he that was in the the 93rd percentile, uh, this week. So, and I, or sorry, not even this week. That's based on um data from 2010, all the way up until, uh, last year um, in the 93rd percentile of of players that have played at least five games. That is absurd. Um, as for your boy kyler, like for one again, they're not gonna play the bills every week, so we can, we can throw. I don't want to say throw it out, but I ain't gonna say the bills have no elite defense though they have a good, they have a.
Drew Moore:You know what I'm saying.
Alix Harris:They had an elite defense and have still an elite defense.
Drew Moore:Greg Dortch. That's a good rod receiver right there. If y'all want to go with a receiver on the Arizona Cardinals, it's not Trey McBride, it's Greg Dortch.
Alix Harris:Is that?
Drew Moore:so I'm just saying Somehow he's going to be rookie of the year.
Alix Harris:Okay. Anyways, as for my boy Marvin, my concern, no, not at all, mainly because he's on my team, but also because you know it's week one, all right, and, like you know, you're still getting the rapport down Every other rookie wide receiver that was drafted highly played very well this week. And they weren't going against the Bills.
Drew Moore:The Bills. They're not the Cowboys.
Alix Harris:The Bills have a very good, or had a very good secondary. Last year they were top 10 in EPA per dropback, epa per play, per dropback, so like, and they were also top 10 and when it came to drop back success rate, um, so I'm just saying they, they had a very good secondary and again, like, like you had mentioned, um james connor doing his thing in the run game, and so why?
Drew Moore:why was kyler? Kyler had like 50 yards rushing as well yeah, why?
Alix Harris:why? Why pass if you can just run it? And also, it's not like they weren't just like locking him up, it's not like he just wasn't getting open. There was a couple plays where he was open and Kyler just flat out missed him and like didn't see him.
Drew Moore:Yeah, he was wide open on a deep bomb touchdown.
Alix Harris:Exactly, and we would have had. He would have dropped it anyway. Okay, we'd be having a completely different conversation right now if that was the case. So, with that being said, I am not concerned, mr Harris. Okay, I do expect a bounce back. I do expect a bounce back week for them Well, mostly just Marvin Harrison, but I guess also for the Cardinals too.
Drew Moore:So you're not concerned.
Alix Harris:Not at all. What's there to be concerned about? Okay?
Drew Moore:fine, you're not concerned. Tell me if you're concerned about your mvp pick in the bangles, who lost to the patriots 16 to 10 um with jacoby brissett as the, you know, starting quarterback um side note uh, did you.
Alix Harris:Did you see what uh draught, mayo? Uh said about jacoby brissett after the game no, what did he say? He was like, um uh, congrats to jacoby persett. He's probably the the slowest black quarterback in the league bro, it's the truth. That's facts, though, but anyways, um, that was. That was kind of it was surprising that they won. Am I surprised that they covered? No, because of all the crazy stuff and shenanigans that was going on no T Higgins.
Drew Moore:Jamar Chase is rusty yeah. They just lose every first game of the season.
Alix Harris:Exactly In terms of the overall outlook on the season for, uh, for the Bengals, uh, my AFC, um champion. No, I'm sorry, um kind of um, I am not concerned. I'm not concerned. Um, the running game looks terrible, which is kind of concerning.
Drew Moore:Hey man, Zach Moss out here. Yeah, okay, he's out there, that's for sure, um hey, 4.9 yards to carry well no, no, brother, uh, anyways um brother I well, so when?
Alix Harris:when? Joe burrow and uh and t higgins and Jamar?
Drew Moore:Chase T Higgins doesn't even practice this week.
Alix Harris:He's fine, don't worry about it.
Drew Moore:You don't say those kinds of things he's on my team too.
Alix Harris:You don't say those things.
Drew Moore:Okay.
Alix Harris:But yeah, when they're all healthy, we're going to see a high-powered offense.
Drew Moore:No, joe Mixon, though Maybe he was the key.
Alix Harris:Joe Mixon was was the key joe nixon is not the.
Drew Moore:You saw what he did. We'll get into that in a second. I have no, I have one of my fancy teams. Bro, I had to you've been disrespecting this man for years.
Alix Harris:Well, you'd have to give him just in case he was good. Okay, okay, um, but anyways, uh, in terms of their defense, that was. That was pretty concerning as well. Assuming is how you, if you can't stop arguably one of the worst offenses in the league, then it's going to look pretty ugly against the Chiefs they played this week.
Drew Moore:It was the run defense. I don't think that they have a great pass defense either. But yeah, ramondre Stevenson, going for a buck 20 ain't going home help anything, especially if they could just control the time of possession the entire time. And like a lot of people are saying that, christian gonzalez, obviously the the sophomore db for the patriots. I mean I'm not nobody's trying to say that he was locking up jamar chase. Jamar chase came into the season obviously rusty, because he was holding out and all that kind of stuff. No t h Higgins, so they were able to kind of bracket him as well. But I mean I still had higher expectations for this than the Bengals or for the Bengals.
Drew Moore:And I mean now you're kind of stuck in a rut. It's like, oh, you know, we start on one, oh and two every year and we've still made the playoffs favorite of the week against, if not, the Saints and the Panthers, but then you play the Chiefs this week. So I mean what, you're just going to start 0-2 and you're just going to be like, oh, it's fine, like don't worry about it, it's going to be all right.
Alix Harris:I'm concerned, and the crazy thing too is the fact that they, the Patriots, did this by only throwing actually sorry, they didn't throw any passes past 20 yards. They're. They are the only the earth, sorry, the only other team that didn't do that was your bears. Between those two teams. Those two teams were the only teams in the nfl. Both of them won the game, maybe 1960s football is the key.
Drew Moore:Those two teams were the NFL.
Alix Harris:Both of them won the game, maybe 1960s football is the key. Those two teams were the only two teams that did not throw a pass that went over 20 yards, Mr Harris.
Drew Moore:Three yards in a cloud of dust. Who needs to throw the ball? That is ridiculous.
Alix Harris:Now, granted, going into this game, we did kind of know that the Patriots would have an advantage on the ground. To me, it's how they had a 23% advantage on the offensive line, when it comes to the rush offense, compared to the Cincinnati's run-stopping defense. However, again, we did not expect them to lose this game outright. That is very astounding. Ultimately, it is very early in the season, there's still a lot of football to be played. We'll see what happens next week or this coming week. I should say let's not overreact, but I think that the Patriots might be going to the Super Bowl this year. Mr Harris, that's my comment, absolutely All right.
Drew Moore:So I mean I guess we can stick on that trend about teams that had high expectations and kind of underperformed this last week. So we can go into the Falcons, who ended up losing 10-18 against the Steelers. The Steelers started Justin Fields, as Russell Wilson ended up being hurt and not playing. And then, you know, we had high expectations for the Falcons, with Kirk cousins, with the plethora of reference, with Jake London, with Kyle Pitts, with Bijan and everybody else scored 10 points, kirk through, I think, what one or two interceptions, basically a game ceiling interception, and they looked about what they looked like last year. So any thoughts on that? Obviously, we know that the Steelers have a great defense. We've always praised Mike Tomlin on how he's been able to basically take mediocre or bad teams and still be above 500. But that did not look good for the Falcons.
Alix Harris:Calipin's got a touchdown though.
Alix Harris:Yeah, I mean he was standing there like butt naked for like 10 minutes before he saw him over there. But yeah, no, it was, wow, like there's one play I'm thinking of distinctly that just encapsulated the whole game for the Steelers on the defensive end, and it was. It was this play where uh, tj Watt getting off the ball, uh, and then he, he kind of slaps the hands, does a, does a swim, move under and then just goes right by the, the right guard and he literally just looks like a statue. It was as if, like you, just, you just go like like that, and then dude's just out of the picture. And it was.
Alix Harris:It was every play, every play. It was the same to where they really didn't give. Um, uh almost said matthew safford, I just hate matthew safford. They really they really didn't give. Um, uh almost said matthew safford, I just hate matthew. They really they really didn't give uh, kurt cousins a chance back there. Um, and in terms of like past blocking grades, um, sure yeah, block tj watt well, I mean, you could like try, like that's.
Alix Harris:That's the thing. That's the thing with um, withff grades is they take into consideration the down in distance, ultimately, and then they also take into consideration wins and losses on the offensive line versus the defensive line. How long were you able to hold that block for Things of that nature? So they had one player, the only one, that had above a 70 grade, which 70 is just, you're considered a starter Average. All the other players, jake Matthews, 66.7. Chris Lindstrom, 62.6. And then the other three, mr Harris, the other three, they don't even deserve to have their names said 38.1, 29.5, 28.7 oh like, come on, like it was bad, like I sure you know, he could have got got rid of the ball or whatever.
Alix Harris:He did look like a statue and at times, but this man's just just had a ruptured Achilles His first game back. You expect some rust. Fine, and I was supposed to be. The one of the things that they improved this year was the offensive line and it's supposed to be like a top tier and I wouldn't say like top one tier in the unit, but a top tier upper echelon offensive line.
Alix Harris:Um, that wasn't and that was like a fossil hey, and on the other side the students didn't even, they didn't even score a touchdown offense either.
Drew Moore:Like you lost to a team that didn't score like, doubled their score by himself. This man had 18 points by himself. Shout out kickers man, kickers man. Who cares? Justin tucker who? All right?
Alix Harris:there were some great kickers this weekend and none of them were named justin tucker legit but yeah, I mean tj y ended up having a 95.3 defensive grade and like a 94.6 recovery exactly, it was the.
Alix Harris:The defense was him, and you know when you're when your defensive line is playing that well. Also, I gotta give you know cam hayward a shout out as well. He had a 889.4 defensive rate. But anyways, when your defensive line yeah, your defensive line is playing that well, who cares what the secondary is doing? It literally doesn't matter, because you're just going to get to the quarterback before any of the receivers get open.
Drew Moore:I mean, I still think the Falcons are going to be okay. I think they'll eventually get it figured out. Maybe we can get some WD-40 for Kirk and they'll continue to improve. I'm not, as it's only one week, so try not to overreact but based on how that looks, based on how your Saints looked against the worst team in the league, but I mean albeit still looked way better. Yeah, I'm still not ready to completely change the Falcons pick that I have I don't know if you are but yeah, I think that brighter days are ahead for the Falcons and the Steelers.
Drew Moore:They came out with Mike Tomlin, came out today and said that Justin Fields was going to be the starter for this upcoming week as well. Justin Fields ended up winning the game but, like a lot of the quarterbacks, did not play very well, as we've mentioned, didn't have any touchdowns at all. Basically, you, you know he had some rushing. That was bad. It had a one good pass to, uh, george pickens, but overall, I mean it didn't look great. So, uh, we'll see how they look going forward as well. I believe the steelers, who do they play next this upcoming weekend. They played the broncos. So the broncos didn't look great. The seahawks ended up being them, but I mean, it was ugly, but they didn't look great either. So we'll see what it comes to. Justin Fields Sure, not still not sure about the Russell Wilson situation. Do you feel like as soon as Russell's healthy, that they're just going to play Russ? Or as long as Justin Fields is not necessarily winning games but not losing games, mike Tom will keep running them out there.
Alix Harris:I mean, like you paid, you paid Russ, you're going to play Russ, you know? And I think it was kind of ridiculous that they were even suggesting that there was a competition between the two. Like, Russ is a Hall of Fame quarterback, let's be honest. Okay, before the fall off, that happened in Denver. He was the Hall of Fame quarterback and everyone and their mom wanted him, all right, I miss the old Russ Exactly Straight from the Never, mind. Anyways, he was the hall of fame quarterback and everyone and their mom wanted him, all right. And so I missed the old rest exactly straight from the never, anyways.
Drew Moore:Um, see hawk and gold right, all right anyway, exactly um, but yeah I.
Alix Harris:Why wouldn't you start russ over justin fields?
Drew Moore:just nobody wanted justin fields because justin fields wins games, oh he doesn't Well he did, he beat the.
Alix Harris:Falcons. He's one of the actual worst quarterbacks that I've ever put on the jersey in terms of win percentage.
Drew Moore:He's a running back but it's okay because he's 1-0 to start the season. And I forgot to mention the Falcons. I said that I think things are going to get better, but they lost to the Steelers. They play the Eagles this week and then after that who do? They play the Chiefs, and then they have the interdivision game against the Saints and they play the Bucs and then they kind of get a gimme against the Panthers. So I mean there's a chance that they could start 1-4 or even potentially 0-5 if they lose against the Bucs or Saints, going nowhere in that situation.
Alix Harris:So hopefully they get something figured out quickly well, um, and speaking of the uh, the afc, or afc, the nfc south there, um, just want to touch on that saints game right quick the same worst in the league versus the second worst in the league um like I am I am, I feel you I'm indifferent.
Alix Harris:I didn't want this. Okay, I, I wanted it looks great. It looked great. And that's the problem, is that I, I didn't want to look great, I wanted to be ugly, I wanted to be nasty, I wanted to be like it's the panthers yeah, I don't want to win this year. I want to be bad, like I want us to be so bad. I want the number one overall pick.
Drew Moore:You don't play the Cowboys this weekend, so you might get your wish sooner than later.
Alix Harris:Think about it how does Shadur Sanders look in a black and gold uniform?
Drew Moore:Y'all ain't getting Shadur.
Alix Harris:I mean, if we play our cards right, we will.
Drew Moore:No, derek Carr wants to throw touchdowns. That's probably why he's like oh, I saw ours, I saw the draft, I saw the draft predictions.
Alix Harris:No five, four touchdowns, here you go see, and that's the thing with with Derek Carr is like, anytime you don't get pressure on Derek Carr, he's actually pretty, he's pretty decent, like he can be okay, and he's a very poor man's Jaredared goff.
Drew Moore:I feel like give him protection.
Alix Harris:He actually looks pretty good, but as soon, as you know yeah, and I mean the that's the thing too is like the saints offensive line is not supposed to be good. Okay, like they're it was supposed to be terrible they're supposed to be mediocre I mean, and even with the mediocre, deep or sorry, mediocre offensive line, they were actually supposed to regress this year right. So, in terms of no like legit Like it was supposed to be pretty bad. Like per pro football focus, they were supposed to be 37.
Drew Moore:I know it's just funny that you're just preying on their downfall. I mean like. How did Shador look last week, Andrew?
Alix Harris:Well, that wasn't him, that was the offensive line. It's the same thing, same problem. Anyways, they're projected to be 32nd in the league, alex, in terms of pass protection and pass blocking.
Drew Moore:Projections don't mean nothing, I mean.
Alix Harris:They sure as hell mean something. Whenever you're going against the Panthers, you're always going to have a fighting chance, and that's what we saw this weekend. To where again, when Derek Carr is protected, he's actually. I want to say he's not bad, he's half decent.
Alix Harris:So last year best well play the best as any quarterback this this, this weekend Against the Panthers, and last year, when he was kept clean basically no pressure at all on him, he had a PFF grade of 86 when it came to passing, versus when he was under pressure, 51.8,. Alex, that's not even like a backup quarterback, that's like out-of-the-league quarterback. That's like Nathan of the league quarterback. That's like nathan peterman quarterback, like come on, like that's bad dude and so like if this man is, is able to stay upright, then he's actually not going to be terrible. But if he's, if they're, if they're not going to protect him, it's going to be bryce young 2.0 back there. So it'll. It'll be interesting to see 19 to 23.
Drew Moore:That's so bad, like I'm just saying if you're, if you're on the coaching staff for any part of the panthers organization, like bro, like, how, like, come on, bro, like I feel bad and bryce young is just it's, it's over. It's over.
Alix Harris:Yeah, it's it's crazy too, because like even the qb whisperer couldn't, couldn't fix it, because, like well, there's, like you know, there's's no flashes. You'd think that Exactly. You'd think that you know there'd be some hope, like, oh, did you see that play? But any of the passes that he's throwing across the field just have no pop on them. They're just floating ducks every time he throws the ball and I'm surprised that he doesn't have more interceptions, honestly, in his career.
Drew Moore:Hey, you want to talk about a quarterback that you had. You know what I'm saying. Finish that real quick. But, guys, I'm for you.
Alix Harris:What? What are you trying to say, hey man?
Drew Moore:Hey, are you ready to put some respect on Sam Donald's name yet, or what?
Alix Harris:Bro, stop it.
Drew Moore:Hey Stop, hey, stop. I'm just saying. I'm just saying, okay, I did see somebody I don't know who said it or came out with it, it was a news report that it was like don't be surprised if Sam Darnold basically has like a 2023 Baker Mayfield type season. And I was like, all right, now, we can calm down, we can calm down. He had 200 yards, two touchdowns, only one interception. I was able to get Justin Jefferson involved and beat the Giants, who are supposed to be a bottom-end team, but he did his job and he didn't look bad. So I mean, hey, what more can you ask if you're a Vikings fan at this point in time, other than maybe JJ McCarthy? Not get hurt.
Alix Harris:I mean, we saw how they played last year with basically plug-and-play quarterbacks, and it's not like they're hey, the pastor not. Okay, stop. It's not like they had any world beaters on that team. To where you know, you're going to be bringing in the next Peyton Manning and bringing them to victory, and so it's no surprise that they are better than, or that he is, that Sam Darnold is better than the Pastronaut, and Nick Mullins too.
Drew Moore:You said that he was the worst backup in the league.
Alix Harris:I did not Last week.
Drew Moore:he was like one of the worst backups in the league. I might have said that.
Alix Harris:I might have said that that is something I would say I really don't. I really don't like him honestly. He's very overrated.
Drew Moore:He's not overrated. He's been a backup the past three years.
Alix Harris:And he shouldn't even be in the league.
Drew Moore:Right, he just okay. Exactly, and the truth comes out. Alright. Who do the Vikings play next week? Because I hope they start 2-0. They play the 49ers. They're not starting 2-0.
Alix Harris:Side note though, that's the thing with the Vikings' offense is that they're always able to manufacture easy passes and easy plays for their quarterback and for their offense, Randy Moss.
Drew Moore:it's easy to move the ball down the field. Jordan Edison was hurt in this game and I think he's been ruled out for this upcoming week, but yeah.
Alix Harris:Yeah, and so Sam Darnold ended up having an expected completion percentage of 66.4, which was one of the higher expected completion percentages on the week. Nevertheless, this man's was overperforming, as you might expect, by 12.7%. Alex.
Drew Moore:So what would be a good game for you? What would you be like?
Alix Harris:Other than Derek Carr, who had 16.3% over-expected. Sam Darnold was the other one that was all the way up there over-performing. There ain't no way in hell these.
Drew Moore:When you have Justin Jefferson on your team, you're going to over-perform, and Aaron Jones still looked good, so I mean they have a decent.
Alix Harris:They played against the Giants. Dude, Come on.
Drew Moore:Okay, that's what I'm saying. So when they play against 49ers, who have one of the, you know, more elite defenses in the league, what would if he does, it well, okay, what would a good? Game script or game log. For him be because they're gonna lose, but what would you be like? Okay, you know that was. He looked better than aaron rogers well, is that's the okay.
Alix Harris:The surprising thing actually is that the uh, the 49ers, their, their run defense actually is pretty bad. So, so, like, if he's able to like get the respect from like with Aaron Jones in the running game, then that might open up some of the offensive plays down I don't want to say downfield, but underneath, because he likes to operate.
Drew Moore:I don't want to say they're bad.
Alix Harris:Dude, they were actually pretty bad last year. Let me see here I mean I think Breed's say they're bad, Dude, they were actually pretty bad last year.
Drew Moore:Let me see here I mean I think Breed's Hall is pretty good. I mean they held the Jets to 68 yards rushing.
Alix Harris:Well, the Jets also can't do anything on offense because they had all kinds of drama with Aaron Rodgers doing his own thing and then the fact that they actually ended up kind of going away from the run and only throwing to Garrett Wilson on that one drive.
Drew Moore:Hey, that one drive looked pretty good, though it did.
Alix Harris:I was like oh damn. Okay, this is what the offense looked like.
Drew Moore:Legit, I was like yep. And then reality set in hey, tyron Taylor had one good drive too. He scored so well.
Alix Harris:Exactly, but nevertheless I'm not going to be overly surprised if we see Sam Darnold just look like dog water this week, because everybody looks like dog water this week, because they even everybody looks like dog water not not true last year, when teams during the middle of the year when people got hurt.
Alix Harris:On the 49ers everybody looks like dog water and they still have entries on that side too but also last year when they were playing against the Packers. That's, that's ultimately, when Jordan Love started to look well, continued to look, I should say, like an elite quarterback, and he was doing his thing.
Drew Moore:He looked at that hill that the 49ers gave him.
Alix Harris:Okay, because they stopped doing their. Whatever, bro, you don't even get out of here. Whatever bro, you don't even get out of here. Anyways, yeah, I don't like Sand Arnold. I don't think he's going to be good, I don't think he's going to be successful in the league. I don't think that he's going to make the season as the starting quarterback, and I think that ultimately.
Alix Harris:I don't know Anybody, let me get out there, okay, um, but uh, no I I ultimately think that, um, yeah, this this week coming up, uh, like hot, take the san darno's gonna play trash this week. So um, yeah you can book it mr harris but again about low fruit, low hanging fruit.
Alix Harris:Okay, but again, you know the, like I said, the in terms of run defense and EPA per play, the 49ers were 26th in the league last year. So again, like I said, don't be surprised if they're, if he has a lot of easy throws Okay.
Drew Moore:All right.
Drew Moore:Well, we've already continued through most of them. So another very highly entertaining game that we had was the division matchup versus the Texans and the Colts. Two young great quarterbacks. Well, I don't want to say Anthony Richardson's great yet, because again we've only, I think, what this is game 17 that he's had since he's been in high school. Anyway, cj Stroud ended up pulling out the victory 29-27. Joe Mixon ran for 150 yards. Drew was the absolute bell cow, so I don't know why you still continue to hate on this man.
Drew Moore:Anthony Richardson looked solid. He had one great throw, basically off his back foot for like 60 yards to Alec Pierce and overall, yeah, the Texans looked solid. Everybody kind of ate on the team, I think. Who was the low man out? Because Nico Collins and Stefan Diggs both got their targets. Stefan ended up having a couple touchdowns and Tankdale kind of ended up being the odd man out but still had, you know, 40 yards. But overall it was a very well-balanced team. Thoughts on both teams going forward. And are you completely sold on Anthony Richardson already at this point? Kind of touched on it a little bit last week, but yes, I mean it's from a fantasy standpoint, like From a fantasy standpoint.
Alix Harris:he's kind of Chico yeah.
Drew Moore:Basically, it's Cam Newton.
Alix Harris:And I'm upset that I wasn't a believer. I'm upset that I wasn't a believer, but ultimately, from an NFL standpoint, he I don't want to talk about completion percentage and over-expectations.
Drew Moore:That's what I'm saying. He had nine completions, Drew.
Alix Harris:Exactly. It wasn't looking great for sure, but at the same time he did show some promise and some.
Drew Moore:He has an arm.
Alix Harris:We knew that We'll call it competency compared to Bryce Young and compared especially, especially compared to your boy, caleb Williams. So I think that, whatever, I think that overall, I think going forward, he's going to be a hard quarterback to game plan, for he's basically like Cam Newton minus.
Alix Harris:I mean I want to say minus the accuracy because ultimately, Cam Newton wasn't the most accurate quarterback either, so, to be fair, he's kind of online with that as well, and he still took his team to the Super Bowl. So I'm not saying that the Colts are going to the Super Bowl or anything like that.
Drew Moore:The Colts are a playoff team.
Alix Harris:The wildcard team. I think that they definitely have a chance to get in there and I want to see. I'm 90% sure I've got to look where I wrote it down, but I'm pretty sure that I said that the Colts are going to win their division anyway and I do firmly believe that as well. The Texans, while they did look good, the Colts are also pretty damn bad on defense, so they're not going to play them every week. They're going to be playing a lot of hard teams. They have one of the most difficult schedules this season, whereas the Colts have a pretty favorable schedule In terms of season outlook. I still like my pick of the Colts to finish ahead of the Houston Texans. Wow, I'm a little tongue-tied there. I'm a little nervous. I didn't even believe myself for a second.
Drew Moore:That's not true, fair enough. Okay, we already touched the Seahawks, ended up beating the Broncos. It was not a pretty game. For those of you that watched the first half, I'm sorry. The Seahawks had two safeties and muffed a punt and, yeah, basically did everything that they could in order to lose that game and slowly they figured out. In the second half they're like oh wow, we actually have weapons on offense and, you know, gino Smith actually has somewhat mobility in those legs and finally pulled away against the Broncos who, again, I don't like, I don't, I don't, I just don't like Sean Payton. Bo Nix is fine, I don't, I don't mind Bo Nix, I just don't like Sean Payton.
Drew Moore:So the Broncos still the Broncos still seem like they're going to be very mediocre. Still not seeing a whole bunch from Javante. Jaleel McLaughlin obviously has some juice, but I just don't really see where the you know, I don't see where the points are going to come from when it comes to the Broncos, especially in that division where you're going to have to play the Chargers, who looks good this weekend, and then obviously you have the Chiefs and even I think that I think they're going to finish lower. I don't know They'll be right in line with the Raiders. I think that's what I said last week too, so I don't know if you had any thoughts on that game, but that's basically all I had.
Alix Harris:And Seahawks to the moon, of course I mean it was well for somebody that has, I want to say Zach Charbonnet, kenneth Walker, on our team. It was kind of upsetting to see that he got hurt. Basically it's also hurt, yeah, um, and basically didn't have any production from him, which is nice, and I don't have a touchdown well, I mean in terms of production.
Drew Moore:Look at how many yards that man's had don't worry about the yards, bro and I I'm worried about 20 carries he had 20 carries for 103 yards 103 yards, nothing and two receptions and a touchdown that's damn here 20 points more. Are you greedy? No?
Alix Harris:not everybody can pick up drew, not everybody can have 33 points exactly. I this for reference. For reference on my other teams I have. I had joe mixon, all right, I had I had uh aaron jones, which was, you know, he's good, um, and then I also had uh saquon. I want that kind of production out of my players, alex, okay I don't want.
Drew Moore:I don't want to. That was just that I was the highest scoring of any team this week.
Alix Harris:Mr Harris, I'm the highest scoring team. Anyways, regardless, I want more from him. Okay, okay, all right.
Drew Moore:Well, when both of them were healthy, he definitely was the bell cow. People always were concerned about Zach Charbonnet. He was definitely bell cow, got about 80% of the touches.
Alix Harris:Which is good to see. But now he's hurt.
Drew Moore:Yeah, he's always hurt.
Alix Harris:Well then, that's the problem. But anyways, we know that the Broncos are garbage on both ends of the ball, seeming as how they have Bo Nix as the quarterback.
Drew Moore:And won by six points. Why do we always win by six points, bro?
Alix Harris:it's not, it's never convincing but uh, you know, with, uh, with with bonix though I'm I, I want him to be good because like he seems like a nice guy, he seems like he did his time kind of thing. The man's basically a fossil in football years. Might as well be the 40-year-old rookie.
Drew Moore:Exactly, he was mobile, though he was pissing me off.
Alix Harris:He had two picks and no touchdowns. They were bad picks. That's going to cost you For sure In a Sean Payton offense. Usually he sets his quarterbacks up for success with a lot of checkdowns, which is why yes, he does. It's not his fault, alex.
Drew Moore:One Super Bowl in 20 years Drew.
Alix Harris:Dude, we don't even got to get into that. We know that they should have made at least two more, and that's facts Anyways in the Broncos, we don't trust. In the Broncos. We don't trust In the Broncos. We don't trust Gino yeah.
Drew Moore:I was hoping for more out of DK as well.
Alix Harris:He had a Russian touchdown too.
Drew Moore:For no reason. See that, it's gross yeah.
Alix Harris:I was hoping for more out of DK as well. Didn't really have much production. Super depressing because I also have him on my team. Um, I got like I said man, I have the seahawks coming out of the nfc west all right, so wow so I, I need, I need to see more. I need Kenneth Walker rushing for 180 yards a game I need DK getting at least 100 yards per game.
Alix Harris:I'm not being greedy here, I'm just being realistic. If we want to take home this NFC West title, these are the things that need to happen.
Drew Moore:You sound delusional. You sound like a Cowboys fan. Actually, I'm gonna get you off that. We can slowly pivot to the cowboys who, as we know, dak prescott got his bag five years. What? 260 million some 60 million dollars a year is basically what he had. Basically similar guarantee money and similar contract to what deshaun watson honestly so highest paid quarterback, highest paid payer in NFL history and yeah, at literally, I think like 44 minutes before kickoff it came out that he signed the contract and that he was the highest paid player in NFL history. So Cowboys did their Cowboy things. Dak didn't really have to do too much, cd didn't have to do too much because they wanted all facets. The defense was elite, special teams was elite. I had a touchdown pick six and basically zeke got a touchdown. Um, but what are the browns?
Drew Moore:gonna do with deshaun watson because they still owe him like 180 million dollars and they're stuck. Um and every like I I people are saying I'm, I would, I would play james. I mean you can't, but like I'm, I'm not 100 certain that deshahaun Watson is a better quarterback than Jameis Winston and I guess a lot of people were saying in the preseason and in training camp that Jameis looks better than Deshaun. But I mean, if you owe somebody, basically an island, you can't really just cut them literally, and it's just it's.
Alix Harris:It's crazy to me how you can go from being that good to basically unplayable, like like other than patrick mahomes. People were like he was, he was next, that was it him and the texans were going to be great for 10 years, and now he looks like drew breeze so for for reference here um so I filtered this between quarterbacks uh, that that played from 2001 or played from 2021 to 2024, that have at least played 100 plays. There are 81 quarterbacks that qualify. Do you want to know where?
Drew Moore:Sean wants to be.
Alix Harris:I don't think I do. He ranks 60th out of 81 qualified quarterbacks in that time period Ares Bottom third percentile.
Drew Moore:It could be worse.
Alix Harris:Do you want to know who's below him? These players are not in the league. Alex Okay, Literally Well. Okay, my bad Tyson Bajan, he's in the league. Alex Okay, Literally Well. Okay, my bad, Tyson Bajan, he's in the league. So he's a backup quarterback right now.
Drew Moore:Josh.
Alix Harris:Dobbs out.
Drew Moore:Wesley.
Alix Harris:Davis Mills. I think he's a backup.
Drew Moore:Played for one year.
Alix Harris:Nick Trevor. Simeon Zach Wilson. He should not be in the league Like, oh my God, this is just bad dude, okay.
Drew Moore:So obviously it didn't look great last year, then he got hurt and didn't look good this year, but it was arguably the best defense in the league. I mean, do you know who's above him? Sam Howe? Okay, desmond.
Alix Harris:Ritter Ian.
Drew Moore:O'Connell, mike White.
Alix Harris:Wow, okay, desmond.
Drew Moore:Ritter Ian O'Connell Mike.
Alix Harris:White Justin Fields.
Drew Moore:Tyler Huntley, it was against the Cowboys. They play against the Jaguars, who didn't look great.
Alix Harris:They looked great for about. You said what Trey Lance is ahead of them.
Drew Moore:Hey, what are you going to do? What are you going to do?
Alix Harris:It's so bad there's nothing to do you owe this man Earth?
Drew Moore:So his contract is 100% guaranteed 253 or something like that, fully guaranteed. So I mean there's not really much that you can do in that situation.
Alix Harris:Super rushed yeah.
Drew Moore:Anyway, it doesn't matter, they can't do anything, they're stuck. And yeah, it's unfortunate, because this team went 11-6 last year, with Joe Flacco playing the high majority of the games and went to the playoffs and won a playoff game. But Deshaun Watson looks like trash Again. It's against the Cowboys, though, so I think that when he plays the Jaguars, I'll have a better idea of how bad he actually is.
Alix Harris:Expectations for the Cowboys negative 0.079 EPA per play every play.
Drew Moore:Oh okay, sorry, that's crazy there's nothing that can be done in that situation. Cowboys were the Cowboys. I think the Cowboys are going to be good this year. I think they're still going to probably win 10-11 games. So I mean, I don't know if you want to touch on the Cowboys, but nothing really changed. Obviously, cd didn't get as much volume as people would expect, but I mean they really didn't need it. I think he had like five receptions or four receptions in the first drive and then they kind of just chilled for the rest of the game. So yeah, any thoughts on the Cowboys?
Alix Harris:No, I mean 40% success rate, um, no, I mean, uh, six forty percent success. Okay, okay, but no, um with the cowboys and everything. Um, I honestly thought that they would have a hard time with this um, with this bronze defense, uh, and I also thought that the browns would have a competent offense, um, but I was partially wrong. On both of those um miles, garrett did his thing, as always, but you know, ultimately it wasn't enough to to uh, hold the cowboys out of the end zone. And I mean dac, dac looked good. Cd was doing his thing. He's always open, regardless of who else is, regardless of how many people that they put on him or whoever they put on him. And yeah, I mean, I still got the Cowboys finished in second to the Eagles there, but it definitely was. I definitely I'm not 100.
Drew Moore:I mean jalen hurts does not look great, um, so I mean, we'll have to wait and see. I'm not ready to jump off any bandwagons, anything. I don't have them winning the super bowl, I'll say that. But um, I digress, uh.
Drew Moore:Moving on rams lions, we kind of touched on a little bit. It was a very close game overall. The Lions ended up winning in overtime. It kind of just seems like the Lions ended up taking their will, especially in that overtime drive. They're literally like you know what we have one of the best offensive lines in the league, we have one of the best tackles in the league and we have David Montgomery who's a bowling ball and we're literally just gonna literally run it down down your throat into the end zone. And then that's what happened and the Rams played a very valiant game. I feel like, especially given the situations, you lose Puka and then you know Cooper cup turns into Megatron and they just force feed him. And then obviously Kyron was still the bell cow. A lot of people had concerns about Blake quorum and everything like that. Kyron was still the bell cow.
Drew Moore:But overall I did have good or high expectations for the Rams. I thought they were still going to be a solid team and could have possibly squeaked into the playoffs. It's like that last wild card, but now, with Puka Nakua gone, I mean it's literally just going to be Cooper Cup or bus. So I mean I don't really have too much expectations for them going forward and I might even have the Cardinals finishing higher than them if Buka Naku is supposed to be out for longer than four weeks.
Drew Moore:So yeah, the Lions, I think, are still going to be a great team. I think that they're probably going to make the NFC championship I had. It was between them and the Eagles versus the 49ers. So I had the 49ers for only the NFC championship going to the Super Bowl and it was between the Lions and the Eagles. So I honestly think it might be an NFC Championship rematch, because I think the Lions look great and if Jameson Williams is actually going to be good for the first time ever, that diversity that they have with him Amon Ross, sam Laporta and both running backs in Gibbs and David Montgomery like pick a poison yeah.
Drew Moore:Pick a poison.
Alix Harris:Yeah, I mean again. I, I'm greedy, I I wanted more from Montgomery. I wanted two touchdowns, not just one but also I don't know.
Drew Moore:No, no, I.
Alix Harris:I don't. I had opportunities to get them in every league and I chose not to cause I was scared of the hamstring. But then it's like, oh yeah, his hamstring's fine, okay, whatever, I think it's gonna linger most damn, it looks a little hurt to me.
Drew Moore:That was a lot of touches, especially five and a half per yard.
Alix Harris:Yeah, it looks real hurt anyways um, but yeah, my guy, my guy, david montgomery, I when they, when, when they realized towards the end of the game that wait a second, that guy's actually been running for five and a half yards per carry, we should get him the ball again, yeah that sounds like a good idea.
Drew Moore:Turn me up.
Alix Harris:Seeming as how literally everybody on the defensive side for the Rams just was ole-ing everything. It didn't seem really all that fair in some instances, because the Lions have one of the best, or if not the best, offensive line in the league and we talked about this last week, if not the best offensive line in the league, and we talked about this last week where the impact that Aaron Donald has is absolutely immense. I was fiddling around with some numbers the other day and I was curious. You know what would happen if you have Aaron Donald on the team from last year taking last year's stats, if you have Aaron Donald on the team from last year taking last year's stats, and then you go in there, you delete him off of that defensive line, how much would it really impact the team? And you were over there like, oh Drew, it's not going to really do anything, like it's fine, like it's you know, it's whatever. Can't say that. You said that he didn't really impact the team. Well, you said that he didn't impact the team, but not really.
Drew Moore:I said that he's not like an all-pro going to be. He's still one of the best defenders of all time and he's still probably going to be an elite defender overall. I'm just not saying he's primary and I don't know more.
Alix Harris:Is it? And I'm just saying it matters.
Drew Moore:It dropped 20 points. It definitely could have helped. 20 points. 20 points for what?
Alix Harris:In terms of PFF grades overall for the Rams last year If you would have taken off Aaron Donald, that's how much it affects their defensive line. Now again you have. You have turner over there, that you know he's okay, but without aaron donald um he's not going to have the same success. Well, I mean, he had. I believe that he had that success because of aaron donald um and so he's not going to have that same kind of success going into this season. So it'll be interesting to see how the Rams hold up with all their injuries on the offensive line. To me it's how they have what like two guards left on their team and maybe a center Open tryouts, exactly. So they might have to have some of their defensive players playing on the offensive line. They might have to run out of people Eat up, exactly. But yeah, no.
Drew Moore:Would you be out on the Rams In terms of?
Alix Harris:I mean, I am going to say that I'm pretty out of the Rams but I really wasn't, if we're being honest. But yeah, Kobe Turner, he's supposed to be the guy and he had a 69.2 defensive grade. Compared to his, I believe it was like 89 grade last year. Granted, again, he was against the Lions, one of the best offensive lines, so he's going to improve, but I still think that we're going to see some changes happening on that defensive line.
Drew Moore:It was one more major game that I wanted to get into, but there was a couple that we didn't touch on, so I'll just go over the scores real quick with them. If you want to add any notes to them, just let me know. Had the Raiders and Chargers game, obviously the Chargers ended up winning that one 10-22. It was the reemergence of JK Dobbins, as he had a great game for the first time, I think, in like four years 10 for 135 yards and a touchdown. Justin Herbert was solid. Justin Herbert was solid, 17-26 for 150 yards, but didn't really need to do too much.
Drew Moore:And lad mcconkey, as you know my boy, you know found the end zone, is just doing nice things and stuff. And then you know, gardner minshu wasn't terrible honestly. He had the interception but he was 25 or 33 for 260 yards. Um got everybody involved and, you know, kind of spread the ball out, but overall they just weren't able to really move the ball against the Chargers defense. So any thoughts on that game. Don't really have too much high expectations. A lot of people actually had some high expectations for the Chargers. They're like Harbaugh's immediately going to come in. They're immediately a playoff team. I don't know if I'm fully in on that. Yet I think they're going to be decent this year.
Alix Harris:They I think they're going to be decent this year?
Drew Moore:Yeah, they'll be about above 500.
Alix Harris:Yeah, and I mean, you know, I don't, I don't think that they're going to be making the playoffs or anything crazy like that. But yeah, I mean if, like I, I I'm upset because I saw JK Dobbins as like one of the one of the breakouts this year and that was the only one that I actually kind of bought into a little bit because, um, since he he has shown that that capability before, um sure the main thing he's coming back from is like all of his like litany of injuries, um, versus the other people that were breakouts, like we've never seen them do that before and we're just assuming that they could break up because of the potential volume and the talent that they have there he hasn't done it though I mean, but he had like he was fairly successful when he was with the raven, he did it in college.
Alix Harris:I mean, yeah, he did it in college. But he also was successful for a few games with uh when he was with the raven he literally liked a few games well, that's the thing is like's.
Alix Harris:Like you know he was hurting, so like you'd go into a season he'd play amazingly and then after two games he's done the whole season and then you know the rest is history. And then you go four years without him, because I remember when he first got drafted I had him on my fantasy team and then he got hurt and so, yeah, I've always, you know, been a fan of his and stuff. So it's good to see that you know he's finally back out there and healthy and, you know, doing his thing. However, fantasy managers out there, if you don't expect regression, you should not be playing any kind of fantasy football.
Drew Moore:That man's not going to see it. He's not going to have 13 yards of carry.
Alix Harris:Something about that just tells me. No, I'm not sure what it is, but yeah, no, I do think that over time, he could potentially have maybe a thousand yard rush in season, seeing as how they want to run the ball, every single play of every single down, just like how his brother does, and on defense exactly.
Alix Harris:anyways, I do expect major, major, major regression for this man's, but surprisingly he somehow, some way he wasn't the or didn't have the highest rushing yards over expected. It was actually Aaron Jones that had the highest. Jk Dobbins only was 40% over expected, whereas Aaron Jones was 64.3%. And then right after that was your boy, joe Mixon.
Drew Moore:You already know Fair enough. Anyway, we also had the Bucs and the Commanders. Baker Mayfield basically was like you know what I got paid this offseason I'm going to show you why and had probably one of the best performances of the Dendera car of this weekend. Had four touchdowns for basically 300 yards, no interceptions, and got everybody involved Chris Godwin, rashad White, mike Evans, everybody ate. And then commanders obviously had Jaden Daniels in his rookie debut.
Drew Moore:Didn't look terrible, I guess you could say, didn't have any interceptions, didn't have any passing touchdowns, and proceeded to rush 16 times for 88 yards. And then we were doing kind of like a stat thing and like only a few quarterbacks that have like even ran that many times in the game, like in NFL history. You got Cam, you had Lamar, who's done it a few times, everybody else has only done it once and Michael Vick did it once. So I mean, I don't know what their expectations are for Jane Daniels. We already knew he was a versatile quarterback who wanted to use his legs. But I mean, I feel like if you're gonna run it that many times, you're just kind of setting yourself up for failure or potential injury. Um, but I digress. So any thoughts on the bucks um potentially having them winning the division over the falcons, like we had talked about earlier, or still holding true with the falcons no, it's, it's the, it's the commanders.
Alix Harris:Like, come on, they're, they. They're supposed to be pretty close to, if not worse than, uh, the patriots this year. Um, and they're supposed to be also on par with the uh, uh, the panthers. And now, with the way the panthers look, this this past week and I, they're probably worse than, um, the pan, they're probably worse than the Panthers, probably worse than the Commanders. But at the same time, I do think that the Commanders will have better days ahead.
Alix Harris:And the Bucs I do think that you know they still have a decent offense, like it's still good. And now that they moved Chris Godwin back to the slot where he's comfortable, I think we're going to see some more production out of him versus last year. He had a kind of a down year, but that was more, more so because he was playing the outside and that's not what he's accustomed to doing. So, um, now that they have him back inside, I think you know we're going to see pretty solid offensive performance from the Bucs. The main thing is, like, what's their defense going to be able to do on that side of the ball, seeming as how you know, if they're letting the commanders I don't want to say get loose. But you know, let them score, and that's the problem. If you let the commander score, man.
Drew Moore:That's no point, exactly.
Alix Harris:I think that, like we talked about before, the Bucs lost the folks on the defensive end, and so I think that that's going to be a liability for them going forward. So I think that that's going to be a liability for them going forward and, just like all the other teams, they're not going to play the commanders every week, so we'll see how they do in the subsequent weeks to follow.
Drew Moore:Fair enough. And last but certainly not least, we've already touched on a little bit San Francisco 49ers beat the New York Jets on Monday Night Football Football and Aaron Rodgers had his first full game as a New York Jet and ended up basically getting mollywhopped. The Jets had one good drive I think it was the second or third drive, because I think the second drive Brice Hall had a fumble after receiving a pass from Aaron Rodgers. But yeah, had one solid drive where Aaron Rodgers basically forced Gary Wilson and then Brees Hall ended up pounding it into the end zone. But other than that they couldn't move the ball on offense and the 49ers basically did almost everything that they wanted to do when it came to an offensive side.
Drew Moore:So the Jets defense wasn't really all that great. You had Sauce Gardner ended up kind of getting hurt, came out. The game ended up coming back in, had a couple more entries on the jet side of things as well, but overall wasn't a great game for the jets. Obviously, we talked about Christian McCaffrey not playing, so Jordan Mason filled in and basically did his perfect C-Mac compression at 150 yards. They ended up using Debo a little bit more in the backfield as he had eight carries as well and, like I said, basically did everything that they wanted to. So, main thing, do you have any concerns or major concerns for the Jets going forward, as before the season started they had like, slowly, I think, became the odds on favorite to win the division in that AFC East division? I don't, I didn't, I had the Bills win this division, but do you think the Jets will get it turned around, or exactly?
Drew Moore:And do you think yeah, do you think the Jets are turned around? Do you think Aaron Rodgers is completely washed? They play the Jets or they play the Titans next week, then the Patriots and the Broncos and the Vikings. So have a chance to go on a hot streak from here and potentially go forward one, but what did you think about the game?
Alix Harris:I mean I'm not all that concerned, like I kind of expected this performance to be honest and I'm the niners yeah, and, granted, I, I did, did want to.
Alix Harris:Well, I did end up taking the, the jets, and there's a lot of smart money that was pushing it back towards that. Unfortunately, I did not get out of that soon enough because I wanted that Christian McCaffrey was out, and I hate being on the other side of games when a star player is out, especially when the line does not move significantly after that. It really only moved like a half point um, which tells me that, um, even though everybody and their mom was like freaking out and like, oh well, the jets are just gonna blow them out there without christian mccaffrey. Let's not forget this plug and play, which was the shanahan offense and everything um, and we always talk about the uh, like I was a wounded duck versus wounded tiger, um, and everything like that. So, um, you usually want to be on on the side of, uh, that team that doesn't have their star player, because there's lowered expectations and teams kind of let down in that that situation.
Alix Harris:Um, one other thing that I thought was kind of interesting as well aaron rogers, my guy, 21 passes, which is pretty low for his standard, but, as we know, they're going to run the ball um through Brees Hall. Uh, but with that he did not have a complete pass, or sorry, not even a, an attempted pass. On the right side of the field, that was, uh past the line of scrimmage, he had one pass hurts my back to throw that side of the field.
Alix Harris:Exactly. He had one pass overall to the right side and I was behind the line and I'm getting six yards, but no passes past the line of scrimmage on the right side of the field. Like what? How is that even possible? Like at least one pass down. Like what in the world is going on over there? All I know is on the left side of the field. That's where garrett wilson was and that's where they had that one drive where everything was clicking, it was looking real good, and then go down and get that touchdown over there too.
Alix Harris:So I think that, going forward, do I think that a rod just washed?
Alix Harris:No, um, do I think that we're going to see more performances like this, where he's going to have lower passing yards, lower passing attempts?
Alix Harris:Probably, it's probably going to be more so the new norm until he obviously starts, um, you know, bitching and moaning, like he always does, um, and then he'll be able to pass more, he'll be audible and out of run plays and stuff like that, and then, uh, the rest of the team's gonna get upset and then it's gonna be chaos in new york and then team's gonna blow up and then they're probably gonna end up losing out the rest of the season.
Alix Harris:Um, I think that they'll end up finishing around like upper upper middle of the pack. Um, I don't think that they're going to be the like a top 10 team. I think that they're more like not an 8, 11, 11, 12 or so, yeah, like there's as as good of a team that they have on paper, like there's still so many moving pieces that they have overall and the offensive line was supposed to be shored up with with the new additions that they had, but it really wasn't looking all that great against, granted, the 49ers again, like you talked about. But you know we'll. We'll see what happens down the down the road.
Drew Moore:Fair enough. So that is the recap of pretty much every game that we had this last weekend. So real quick, before we close things out, we're just going to give a couple of our predictions for some games that we feel like are locked. From our perspective, people's expectations have increased a little bit, but I mean, at the end of the day, it's still sam donald's, it's still gonna be the 49ers. I don't care if christian mcafree plays or if it's jordan mason that starts, um, I will take basically under a touchdown. Uh, spread all day, uh with the 49ers, um over the vikings. So who do you got drew?
Alix Harris:um, that is an interesting choice for sure. So you saw they are getting 83 of the bets and only 62% of the money. That is a negative. I don't care, you can bet me on it.
Drew Moore:You can bet me on it I ain't even going to try to take nobody's deal. I want to know what the bet split's about with Caleb Williams. That's what I want to know, because that man knows how to win games, that's all I know.
Alix Harris:I'm curious Let me check out. Let me check out. Where are the Bears on?
Drew Moore:here, but we're not playing any attention to this next week because they play the Texans. I don't count. That's cheating.
Alix Harris:Oh, that's interesting. Yeah, I think they're going to get Molly Woff next week or this coming week, I should say.
Drew Moore:But I am not going to.
Alix Harris:Also, simon, as bad as you think, sam Darnold, is the split between the rookie, caleb Williams and the, in terms of the, the money that's on the uh on the 49ers actually has a negative uh best foot there. So there's only I think it was like 67 or whatever I said um percent of the money that's on the um on the 49ers and also the line hasn't moved at all, meaning that that's a line freeze there, assuming as how the majority of the bets, you would expect that line to move and become inflated a little bit more, up to at least six or move half a point um, seeing as how it's not going through a key number, but that thing hasn't moved, which does make the vikings interesting. I'm not gonna lie, it makes it interesting, but I don't. I'm not going to lie, it makes them interesting, but I don't.
Alix Harris:Absolutely not.
Drew Moore:You cannot tempt me enough to take that time.
Alix Harris:I don't care if it is the Stephen Hawking money, I am not doing it. As for the Bears and the Texans, while I do, you know what would be kind of nice, honestly Sound or for Caleb Williams to go 2-0?.
Alix Harris:I might look at a teaser here. Let me write this down actually so if you go with the Texans, so if you're doing a six-point teaser going down to basically just pick them at that point, and then if I pair them with the where are they at here, if I pair them with my Vikings, like that, and then that allows me to get the Vikings up to 11 and a half Um, and then that way I'm going through, uh, going through the three, uh, three points already you already have that going through the seven Um, and also, uh, going up past 10 too. So I like that, you like it, I love it.
Drew Moore:We're doing that Watch the 49ers blow out the Vikings, and then you'd made this bet, and then you're just going to be like see, bro, this is why I don't trust Sam Darnold.
Alix Harris:Exactly, I don't trust him as far as I can throw him.
Drew Moore:But you're like, I'll take 11 points.
Alix Harris:Yep, but what we're going do here? Actually, no, we'll do that anyways. Um, because, yeah, I don't, I don't like the uh, the total is a little, a little too high in the in the saints game to for me to tease that down, um, and have some some confidence in the uh, the Colts there, or the Colts, the Cowboys. But yeah, that total in the 49ers game at 45.5, a little total and you're trying to get as many points as you can. You like it, I love it. Anyways, going to my other picks that I have, I'm really kind of liking the Lions this week. I want to talk about overperforming those.
Drew Moore:Bucs were a playoff team.
Alix Harris:I don't know how. Actually, I do know how, because the Saints pissed it away and the Falcons pissed it away. They had really no business being into the playoffs.
Drew Moore:The Bucs then proceeded to beat your Super Bowl champions. They were going downhill the whole season. Really no business being into the bus, but then proceeded to beat your Superbowl champions.
Alix Harris:Oh my God, they were going downhill the whole season. All right, and they had the worst secondary in the league last year.
Drew Moore:Like 32nd, the second worst second whatever.
Alix Harris:Anyways.
Drew Moore:Jalen Reed can beat them over the top twice. There was nobody in the frame. I don't understand.
Alix Harris:Do you want to talk about points over? Expected that man is about to regress.
Drew Moore:Malik. I don't think he's even regressed anymore. It's Malik Willis at this point.
Alix Harris:Four receptions for this man and he's getting 138. Come on now.
Drew Moore:That's trash.
Alix Harris:Off of four receptions.
Drew Moore:No, Anyways back to my tips for us, rude. We interrupted.
Alix Harris:Going with Alliance. I think that we're going to see a better performance this week out of the Lions in terms of actually I don't know using their the russian dominance start to finish exactly and the like I said, the buccaneers not exactly known. Um going not. Let me rephrase that, not actually. Oh my god, I think I'm having a stroke.
Alix Harris:Yeah it's happening again um, not exactly going to be known for their defense this year and the Lions again having one of the best offensive lines in the league, that is going to be a smash play. For me it's at seven and a half, meaning that they're kind of trying to bait you a little bit to take that hook on the Buccaneers side and I'm not biting I am taking my Lions with the 7.5 and I will take it to the bank. What say you, Mr Harris?
Drew Moore:I wanted to talk to you a little bit about this one too, because we can make a little wager, if you would uh so like to do so, and talk about this Thursday night football game, because I'm taking the bills uh over the Dolphins. Uh, dolphins are going to be at home. Obviously, the Bills have won the division the past four years and Josh Allen has owned the Dolphins. So if you are intrigued by that, as you have the Dolphins winning uh the division in that case, and they're playing at home, I I would gladly take the bills, um, you know, plus two and a half over uh, the dolphins. Yes, thank you um one.
Alix Harris:One last side note real quick on the uh, on the on the lions game. Um, just in case you were curious, because I know that you were uh, my detroit lions have a 33 net advantage on the uh. The pass protection when it comes to the offensive line versus defensive line, when it comes to the run defense versus the run offense, for the Lions against the Buccaneers 48% advantage. Thank you very much. And then, if we move on up to my beloved dolphins, the uh afc east champions, might I add, um 2028 afc east champions okay.
Alix Harris:Um, if you look at what they have going on, I just had them, I lost them. Where'd they go? Where they go there? They are okay. So the dolphins have an 11 advantage when it comes to the passing attack and a 14 advantage when it comes to the rushing attack. Now, that that's not everything, because I'm scared and. I I really don't.
Drew Moore:If it wasn't for the fact that Jags don't know how to manage a game would be already 0-1 against Trevor Lawrence. I.
Alix Harris:I don't want to do that. You can take the bills okay. I'm not taking the Bills.
Drew Moore:You're right, exactly, you're taking the Dolphins.
Alix Harris:I don't want the Dolphins.
Drew Moore:Josh Allen's already hurt. He has his left hands hurt and stuff like that. We still don't have a clear number one. Is it Shakur? Is it Coleman? Who is it bro? We don't know. Is it Kincaid Coleman? Is it? Who is it bro? You don't know. Is it Kincaid? You know James Cook, everybody you know. And then you don't speed Drew Pierce, speed everybody's. Four, three, four, two. Speed everybody absolutely a chance playing Tyreek. Hill still angry.
Alix Harris:I'll take under uh 48 and a half, though I'll do, you don't think they can both get 24? 48.5. Not if Josh Allen's going to be running the ball every single play.
Drew Moore:He was running the ball every single play last game and they did not score a touchdown until literally the last possession of the second half. And they still ended up with how many points.
Alix Harris:And also the Cardinals are the worst team by a long shot.
Drew Moore:I couldn't tell in the first half.
Alix Harris:You could tell in the second half.
Drew Moore:So I'm just saying 34 points in, basically a half is ridiculous.
Alix Harris:And again, that's my reaction. You know who did that recently.
Drew Moore:I think the Dolphins did that against the Broncos last year, drew, so you should take the Dolphins, bro. Look what they're capable of Hell. No, I'm not doing that. Okay, drew, you're not going to win the. You have the Dolphins winning the division. You have to be able to confidently take them. Not in this situation. At home. No, no.
Alix Harris:At home, week two.
Drew Moore:Drew said this is a trap.
Alix Harris:It's a trap, exactly, yeah, it is a trap. I don't want that.
Drew Moore:Okay, fair enough, those are my picks. Unless you had anything else, I can finalize this and hop on out here.
Alix Harris:Yeah, a couple things I'm wavering on here. For one, I'm tempted with the Seahawks because of how lackluster their offense really looked and how good the Patriots looked. So it's kind of a buy low, sell high kind of thing on both those teams and with it being, you know, three and a half, personally, I already took, I already I already bet this like back in August.
Alix Harris:Yeah, it is yeah, bet this back in august, um, when it was minus two for the seahawks, so like, and I I still like it at minus three and a half. So, oh, I'll take that minus three and a half, write that down take that we'll probably still win.
Drew Moore:We'll probably win on a game-winning field goal.
Alix Harris:Somehow, you guys literally only win by field goal or a touchdown. There's no in-between, nope. But yeah, also the bets on this one 59% of the bets on the Seahawks, but 81% of the handle going towards the Seahawks. You like it? I love it. We're going to go with that one and get some more of it. You like it? I love it. We're gonna go with that one and get some more of it. Um, the other one I was looking at too was, uh, your uh, indianapolis colts. Um, I think it's, it's a. It's one of those spots, too, where they actually looked pretty, pretty, pretty good against the um, uh, against the texans last week, aside from their defensive flaws, um, but other than the mass, I don't think that's going to be really much of other than the major part of the other side I mean it's it's malik willis.
Drew Moore:So I mean exactly, I think three points is if I, it's okay if I lose to malik willis, then you know, so be it.
Alix Harris:But I'm taking the money line because you know me Minus 148 on that one.
Drew Moore:I'll take that one Again, if I mean the Packers are at home so I guess that makes sense a little bit, but you're just saying that like oh, basically Packers with Malik Willis, who was literally the worst starter a couple years ago in the league, are only a six-point favorite against the Colts in the neutral. I don't understand. Anyway, yeah, I agree with that one.
Alix Harris:I have to double-check this. I heard this somewhere, but I'm pretty sure Malik Willis has more interceptions than he does touchdowns. Um, cause I don't think he's actually thrown an NFL touchdown.
Drew Moore:So um, he hasn't thrown an NFL touchdown or an NFL interception and is still one to know. Uh, to start off their NFL career, that would be Caleb Williams.
Alix Harris:Thank you very much Disgust me. Um, any, who, um, anywho, any, hey how. The next one I'm gonna go with is kind of you can call it gross, but I kind of like it um, like the cardinals over the rams. Uh, they don't have puka, um, and they don't have an offensive line. Quite frankly, uh, everybody's dead and and or dying, and I do think that we're going to have a bounce back performance from Marvin Harrison this week too. Andrew Boyd, matthew Sadford, had a PFF grade of 51.8 last week, so he is right on par for what I want to see when I, when I am betting on these Cardinals here. Great. So with that I had what?
Alix Harris:when did he get hurt in the first half allegedly he was hurt before that going into that game, but it was like a like a little sprain. It wasn't really any anything bad and so like they kind of poo pooed it and then he was playing and then, yeah, he got hurt. I believe it was like the first half or something like that.
Drew Moore:And the Rams still damn near beat your vaunted lions, and now you're just going to be like all right, Kyler, hey man, hey. James Conner is a monster, though, so I guess that does make sense. Just keep feeding James.
Alix Harris:That's all you got to do. They don't have an offensive line. They literally have two players left. Do what you will, but I will take my chance.
Drew Moore:Defensive rush attack. Do the Cardinals have?
Alix Harris:They don't really they got some folks, don't worry about that.
Drew Moore:Trash O'Livers, trash D-line.
Alix Harris:Who wins? Listen to this here. You want to know the highest PFF grade in terms of passing block that they got over there on the Rams 56.8, Alex 56.8.
Drew Moore:Amen, that's a great golf score.
Alix Harris:Okay, anyways. So yeah, I'm going to go in with the Cardinals in that sense. The other one I'm iffy on is I'm tempted on the Cowboys for sure, because they're going against the Saints. Saints literally just played out of their ass last week and I have zero faith that they will do it again, quite frankly, because we just talked about this. Whenever Derek Carr is under pressure, he plays like Malik Willis.
Alix Harris:So when you're going against the Cowboys, who have one of the best pass rushing defenses in the league, it might not look pretty for the Saints. That being said, it's also six points. It's kind of steep, but you know what, how? About two cowboys? We're gonna take that minus six, um, we're doing it, um and the other. The other aspect of that, too, is we go on over here and look at that matchup. The cowboys sure you know they don't necessarily have the the greatest uh advantage when it comes to offensive line versus defensive line. That you know, technically negative 18 percent on that uh and when it comes to pass protection um, but yeah, we have one percent when it comes to the rush.
Alix Harris:But then if you go on over to the saints and you look at how they're gonna do negative 54 when it comes to uh pass blocking um for them. So I'll take my chances with that um. And last but certainly not least, this one is also kind of gross, but I like my chances again. We're going to go with the commanders. Alright, hear me out.
Drew Moore:You think so, danny Dimes, I mean yeah, unless your name is like Bryce Lever, I'll take anybody over Danny Dimes at this point that's fair.
Alix Harris:Actually, I just saw this bet split and I want nothing to do with it.
Drew Moore:I mean, I'm not going to bet it either. I'm just saying that if I were going to choose one team to win in this game, I would choose the Commanders.
Alix Harris:You're going to cross that out. You're going to cross that the hell out, and I almost kind of like Stay away. Literally. I would say that I like the Giants in this situation because they're 85% of the vets that are on the commanders, compared to, you know, 15% for the Giants. But I don't want anything to do with the Giants, so that's gross, that's yeah. No, I'm good, we'll just pass on that. So we got you want to say yours again, and then I'll say mine here.
Drew Moore:Yeah, so I had the Bills over the Dolphins. I think I had a couple of yours too as well. I had the 49ers over the Vikings, I had the Seahawks over the Patriots and I had the. What was the last one? Where was it? I had a fourth one, but now I can't find it. So yeah, you can go over your three, I'll find, or your few, I'll find it eventually.
Drew Moore:You said the the, the 49ers over the Vikings, the 49ers over the Vikings 49ers over the Vikings, bills over the Dolphins, seahawks over the Patriots and the other yeah, it was the Colts over the Packers as well. Those are the four that I had written down prior.
Alix Harris:Okay, yeah. And then, yeah, so I have the Lions, minus 7.5. I got the Seahawksks I'm doing money line minus 175, um, because I don't, yeah, no see how I should be playing games um. And so then we got the colts, um, uh, also going uh money line with that one there, um, and then that's minus 148. And then we got the cardinals um, I believe they're one point favorite, uh, basically just pick them and taking the money line, obviously on that. Cowboys, minus six um. We have the the under um as well in the Dolphins and Bills game at 88 and a half. And then we have the six-point teaser between the Texans and the Vikings. Yeah, beautiful, outstanding, amazing. There we go. All the locks, all the things, like I said, did pretty solid last week. Really, the only one that we didn't hit on that we should have hit on was the baby goat, the Titans, and they're up by 17. So, yeah, how many?
Drew Moore:quarterbacks. Do you know that can come back 17-0?
Alix Harris:He didn't. Anyways, we're done with this.
Drew Moore:He is now being referred to as the baby goat going forward on this show that would be the only place.
Drew Moore:The baby goat. Anyway, so that would be basically the full recap of this last weekend, as well as our previews for this upcoming weekend of week two. Unless you've got anything else, drew, this has been the College Shot Podcast. Your host, alex Harrison, drew Moore, make sure you're following us on all of our social medias, because that's where we also have our bed splits, as well as some social media content when it comes to, basically, picks that we have and things that we like when it comes to the NFL going forward. Drew, you got anything else.
Alix Harris:No, that's pretty much everything. Today, aja Wilson set the all-time record for points in a season, so shout out to her, and if she doesn't win MVP, I will be very upset because I am very heavily invested.
Drew Moore:Actually not that heavily invested, I just I ever tie it up to a second mortgage out on agent, pretty much student loans on it.
Alix Harris:You know, no, I just I ever tie it up to Jalen, jalen Brown to win MVP finals, mvp at like plus 250, and then that having her tied with that, it's like minus 190, and then that it was like it was like plus 500, something like that. Having her tied with that, that was like minus 190, and then that it was like it was like plus 500 or something like that and 25 on that. And so moral of the story is I need her to win and she, she, better win.
Alix Harris:I don't want to hear I don't want to hear caitlin clark does caitlin, but no, he ain't.
Drew Moore:With no mvp give her the record of the year and she's exactly, exactly, go.
Alix Harris:Asia got a shoe. She got it. She's on 2k, you know. She got everything.
Drew Moore:She just needs another MVP anyways, kaylin has all that too with the Nike endorsement. I'm just like she on the cover 2k so I mean true, next year, we'll see y'all next week absolutely.
Alix Harris:Kayla Williams is a bust. Anyways, that is all. Peace out, baby go. Jesus Christ, oh shit time got a little away.
